Earthquake Signal Precursors

Partners include: NASA Ames Research Center, Politechnico di Milano, International Centre for Earth Simulation, European Space Agency, GeoCosmo Science Research Center, Alaska Statewide School Districts

The Earthquake Signal Precursors (also known as Global Earthquake Forecast System) is a revolutionary initiative that will add to the field of earthquake science by building a coherent system monitoring earthquake precursor signals and thereby identify the increasing risk of an earthquake. This monitoring system is also able to identify the actual focal point of the increasing energy buildup preceding an earthquake. Click here to access the live ESP site

It will also be a cornerstone for broadcast of the increasing risk so that society can better prepare for the event with an advance warning. This will allow the community, major industry, transportation systems and other sensitive infrastructure, the opportunity to take preparatory measures. The current work continually monitors earthquake precursor signals and for known correlation between these signals and actual seismic events.

Working in concert with NASA, and taking advantage of recent leading edge research in earthquake science, students supported by NASA and NOAA personnel have designed and built the infrastructure to measure and display *earthquake precursor* data. This Earthquake Signal Precursors (ESP) identifies the increasing risk of an impending earthquake, several hours to a few days before the event. ESP is based entirely on Free and Open Source Software for Geospatial data, FOSS4G. Ron Fortunato, President of Trillium Learning, is leading the development of this enterprise, and presented this work at FOSS4G in Como, Italy together with the Alaskan students from the Kodiak-World Bridge ESP development team.

ESP GUI

ESP WebWorldWind GUI


NASA Europa Challenge - For 2015, the Kodiak A World Bridge™ team submitted a proposal for programming real-time pre-earthquake data on NASA Web World Wind. The following link includes the current website with that ESP application, code and project information:

Kodiak Europa Challenge Website

The Earthquake Signal Precursors (Global Earthquake Forecast System) – a nascent international network is now under development by partners in research, industry and education, including:

NASA Ames Research Center

Trillium Learning, USA, and key school districts in Alaska

GeoCosmo Science Research Center

Politecnico di Milano, Italy

International Centre for Earth Simulation, Geneva, Switzerland

Trilogis SRI, Trento, Italy


Tectonic plate rocks under stress behave like batteries producing measurable electrical currents deep under earth’s crust. Multi-modal measurements include:

  • Positive-charged ions
  • Infrared waves
  • Radio frequency disturbance

When rocks are stressed, atomic-level defects in the mineral grains and along grain boundaries become activated. They generate electronic charge carriers, electrons and holes, of which the holes, called "positive holes", have the amazing ability to flow out of the stressed rock volume. They flow through less or unstressed rocks, easily traversing kilometers, even tens of kilometers, causing a variety of secondary reactions along the way. These signals may be detected by various sensors.

Denali, Alaska Fault and Earthquake, 2002


Infrared radiation emitted by Tectonic stress - can also be measured and acquired by sensors and utilized as an pre-earthquake indicator. Students will maintain and monitor sensor arrays mounted with magnetometers, air ion counters and various pre-earthquake signal gas sensors. The first two platforms were installed in the Kodiak Island Borough School District, in Kodiak and Old Harbor Alaska. The second two were installed in the Ketchikan Gateway Borough School Distirict, and Craig School District; the fifth was recently installed in Glennallen - the Copper River School District. These sensor platforms are set to acquire pre-earthquake data, then deliver it real-time to NASA and international researchers. 

Magnetic vector animation updated with date

Date/Time Vector Animation from Kodiak Magnetometer (gauss)

Sensor

Pre-Earthquake Sensor Platform under development by Intelesense with Kodiak Island schools


© Trillium Learning 2015        info@trilliumlearning.com        www.trilliumlearning.net        +1 973-907-2332